Climate Change, Migration, and European Security

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This thesis examines the threat climate change'induced migration poses to Europe. It emphasizes three key topics: how climate change-induced migration might affect European state security; the strengths and weaknesses of different intergovernmental organizations in response; and what a North Atlantic Treaty Organization response would look like and cost. Lessons learned from prior migration events are combined with estimations of climate migration to produce actionable approximations of migration and migration routes. This thesis finds that millions of forced climate migrants will attempt to migrate to Europe over the next century: over 8 million by 2040, over 14 million by 2070, and over 23 million by 2100. Additionally, this thesis finds that only NATO has the resources to ensure thorough coverage of migration routes and provide safety during migration at an approximate price tag of $12.2b a year. This thesis recommends early planning by NATO to respond to CCIM for two reasons. First, European states may fail under the weight of unmitigated CCIM. Second, European populist politicians may gain increased support with unmitigated CCIM. These politicians are overwhelmingly anti-European Union , and some are pro-Russian. Increased populist presence in Europe could threaten EU existence and/or culminate with some European states being anti-United States.

Pages: 140

Format: Paperback

Publisher: Independently Published

Release: December 25, 2020

ISBN 13: 9798586433725

Climate Change, Migration, and European Security

Naval Postgraduate School

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Pages: 140

Format: Paperback

Publisher: Independently Published

Release: December 25, 2020

ISBN 13: 9798586433725

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Climate Change, Migration, and European Security

Climate Change, Migration, and European Security

Climate Change, Migration, and European Security

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